Will U.S. District Court for D.C. enter protective order by 2026-12-26 in October 2026 Espionage Act case against James Comey?
Posted 2026-10-27 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia is the federal trial court with jurisdiction over cases arising in Washington, D.C. James Comey is a former Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Protective orders are issued in Espionage Act prosecutions to control access to classified or sensitive materials during discovery.
The claim
By 2026-12-26, the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia has entered a protective order governing discovery in the October 2026 Espionage Act case against James Comey.
Reasoning trace
- Base rate: Espionage Act leak prosecutions involving classified discovery ≈ 85% get a discovery protective order within the first two months.
- The October 2026 charges against Comey specifically allege disclosure of national defense information and involve an unnamed co-conspirator, so the court will need to control classified discovery early, and no signal suggests the government will refrain from seeking such protection.
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-27) — 81% at mint → 81% today.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.