|
At least one major measles outbreak (50+ confirmed cases in a single US state) is officially declared by the CDC or a state health department by November 30, 2026, linked to declining kindergarten vaccination rates.
posted 2026-08-22 · 100d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Healthcare |
|
New US or EU sanctions on Iran are announced before 2026-10-27.
posted 2026-09-01 · 56d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-27 (17d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The next US BLS employment report, published by 2026-11-06, reports an unemployment rate below 4.5 percent.
posted 2026-10-04 · 33d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-06 (27d) |
Finance |
|
At least one G7 central bank other than the Fed announces a policy rate hike or an unscheduled hawkish policy statement between 29 August 2026 and 30 November 2026, explicitly citing energy or supply-chain-driven inflation.
posted 2026-08-28 · 94d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
The IEA or EIA publishes a report or statement citing Strait of Hormuz shipping disruption as materially reducing Q3 2026 global oil throughput by 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-08-25 · 82d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Energy |
|
A publicly reported piracy or maritime attack incident occurs in the Gulf of Aden or off Somalia involving a vessel of >50,000 DWT before 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-08-28 · 64d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Within the next quarter, at least one Hong Kong-listed issuer with a June 2026 interim reporting deadline is suspended from trading by HKEX for failure to publish interim results or for a going-concern qualification.
posted 2026-08-30 · 92d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
US Strategic Petroleum Reserve is drawn down or the Biden-era emergency release authority is publicly invoked by the Department of Energy before 2026-10-15.
posted 2026-09-02 · 43d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Energy |
|
CISA adds at least two new vulnerabilities affecting Microsoft, Cisco, or Fortinet products to the KEV catalog between 2026-09-07 and 2026-10-15.
posted 2026-09-06 · 39d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Security |
|
The US Treasury OFAC issues at least one new sanctions designation targeting entities facilitating Iranian oil exports or IRGC-linked shipping between 2026-09-09 and 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-09-08 · 53d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Regulation |
|
The US Treasury or OFAC will publish at least one new sanctions or enforcement action targeting Iranian entities (airlines, financial, or shipping) in the Federal Register by 2026-10-17
posted 2026-09-26 · 21d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-17 (7d) |
Geopolitics |
|
North Korea conducts at least one additional ballistic missile launch between 20 September and 30 November 2026.
posted 2026-09-20 · 71d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The government of the affected jurisdiction (or a major regional disaster agency like FEMA if in the US) will issue a formal public declaration of a state of emergency or disaster, specifically citing the casualties from the recent flash floods, by October 28, 2026.
posted 2026-08-28 · 61d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-28 (18d) |
Society |
|
At least one G20 finance minister or central bank governor publicly calls for coordinated response to elevated oil prices at or around the G20 meeting on or before 2026-10-15.
posted 2026-08-30 · 46d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Finance |
|
The Pretoria Agreement between Ethiopia's federal government and Tigray leadership formally collapses — defined as either party publicly declaring the agreement void or resuming large-scale military operations — by 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-09-24 · 67d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
In the next quarterly earnings cycle (Q3 2026 reporting, ending by 2026-11-15), at least two of the top-5 US hyperscalers report combined AI-related capital expenditures for the quarter exceeding $30 billion.
posted 2026-08-24 · 83d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Technology |
|
A new round of nuclear talks with Iran is formally held before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The Indian government will issue a formal public statement or deploy additional security forces in New Delhi in response to the CJP mass demonstration occurring on or before October 20, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 11d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Society |
|
Fei-Fei Li will formally resign from her position as CEO of World Labs on or before 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Other |
|
Meta will announce a partnership with a major e-commerce platform other than Amazon to integrate Muse for agentic commerce by 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Market |
|
The US Department of Justice or Treasury seizes or announces forfeiture proceedings against at least one additional Iranian-linked oil tanker cargo before 15 November 2026.
posted 2026-08-28 · 79d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The US and China will issue a joint public statement on the new AI safety communication channel within 30 days of the September 2026 summit.
posted 2026-09-26 · 30d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-26 (16d) |
Technology |
|
At least one G7 government formally announces a coordinated or unilateral Strategic Petroleum Reserve release of at least 15 million barrels before 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-09-14 · 62d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Energy |
|
By 2026-11-30, the US Treasury or State Department will announce a new tranche of sanctions specifically targeting entities facilitating Iranian oil exports or Houthi weapons transfers
posted 2026-09-11 · 80d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Volodymyr Zelensky will hold a formal bilateral meeting with a head of state from a NATO member country other than the United Kingdom, United States, or Canada by 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-09-20 · 41d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Flydubai will announce a temporary suspension of its Dubai–Tel Aviv route for at least 7 days, with the announcement occurring on or before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Security |
|
The Democratic Party wins control of the US House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections, with the outcome called by 2026-11-10.
posted 2026-08-17 · 85d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-10 (31d) |
Geopolitics |
|
G7 members publicly confirm delivery of at least 40 million barrels of the announced diesel and crude release by 2026-10-20.
posted 2026-10-02 · 19d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-21 (11d) |
Energy |
|
Every weekly US initial jobless claims print released before 2026-10-14 stays below 260,000.
posted 2026-09-16 · 28d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Finance |
|
The US Department of Energy formally invokes emergency authority to release diesel from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) or a dedicated distillate reserve, OR the IEA coordinates a collective release of emergency diesel stocks among at least three member nations, by November 15, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 45d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Energy |
|
AMD will report Q3 2026 data center segment revenue exceeding $4.5 billion in its October 2026 earnings release.
posted 2026-08-22 · 85d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Technology |
|
By 2026-11-18, the securities class action lawsuit against Beta Bionics will have at least one named plaintiff or lead plaintiff application filed.
posted 2026-09-19 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-18 (39d) |
Finance |
|
Micron will report Q3 FY2026 earnings or issue an updated capex/revenue guidance statement explicitly tied to AI storage demand on or before November 15, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 45d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Technology |
|
By 2026-11-30, the UAE Public Prosecution will have formally charged the pilot who attacked Captain Smit Machchhar with attempted murder.
posted 2026-10-01 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Security |
|
Within the next 45 days, at least three additional US-listed public companies from the S&P 500 or Russell 1000 will announce CEO or CFO departures, matching the pattern of the growing succession-announcement topic.
posted 2026-09-09 · 45d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-24 (14d) |
Market |
|
A single road or rail transport accident with 30+ fatalities is reported in Africa or South Asia before end of October 2026
posted 2026-08-23 · 69d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Security |
|
Meta will report Q3 2026 capital expenditure guidance for full-year 2026 at $75 billion or higher when it reports earnings by Nov 5, 2026.
posted 2026-09-23 · 43d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-05 (26d) |
Finance |
|
Within the next quarter, at least one major hyperscaler (Amazon AWS, Microsoft Azure, or Google Cloud) publicly discloses in an earnings call or SEC filing that DRAM/NAND memory supply constraints have materially delayed AI server deployments or increased capex per rack.
posted 2026-08-07 · 100d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Supply Chain |
|
By 2026-10-15, the local civil defense authority will issue a formal infrastructure damage assessment identifying at least one primary transport route (road or bridge) as severed or structurally compromised, requiring emergency engineering repairs.
posted 2026-09-01 · 44d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Supply Chain |
|
The White House will issue a formal legal defense or public statement justifying the taxpayer-funded advertising campaign featuring President Trump on or before 2026-11-27.
posted 2026-09-28 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-27 (48d) |
Other |
|
The next Eurostat flash HICP release, published by 2026-11-02, reports euro-area year-over-year inflation at or above 2.5 percent.
posted 2026-10-09 · 24d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-02 (23d) |
Finance |
|
The Paramount–Warner Bros. Discovery merger will formally close on or before October 15, 2026, confirmed by an 8-K filing or joint press release from both companies.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Finance |
|
At least one major US or European airline announces route suspensions, schedule reductions, or a fuel surcharge specifically citing elevated jet fuel or Gulf disruption costs by 30 November 2026.
posted 2026-09-17 · 74d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Meta will announce a specific enterprise customer case study or named partnership utilizing the Muse agent by 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Technology |
|
The next US BEA PCE price index release, published by 2026-10-27, reports year-over-year inflation at or above 2.5 percent.
posted 2026-10-03 · 24d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-27 (17d) |
Finance |
|
At least one G7 central bank other than the Fed (BoE, ECB, BoC, BoJ) publicly signals a hawkish shift, delayed cuts, or a rate hike in official communications between 18 September and 15 November 2026.
posted 2026-09-17 · 59d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-10-17, Benjamin Netanyahu will not resign as the leader of the Likud party or as Prime Minister of Israel following the party's primary elections and subsequent candidate list announcements.
posted 2026-08-18 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-17 (7d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Russia conducts at least one strike that destroys or renders inoperable a major Kyiv Dnipro river crossing (bridge or rail viaduct) before November 15, 2026, as part of its declared winter infrastructure war campaign.
posted 2026-10-03 · 43d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Security |
|
The US Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control will designate at least one additional tranche of vessels or entities tied to Iran's shadow fleet beyond the 17 tankers announced on 2026-10-09, before 2026-12-01.
posted 2026-10-09 · 53d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-12-01 (52d) |
Geopolitics |
|
No ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine is announced before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Denmark will formally request an Article 4 consultation with NATO allies regarding the Russian sabotage attacks on its defense firms by 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 52d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Security |
|
The Information will publish a report by 2026-11-27 on a new exclusive story about a major AI company's funding round or valuation, involving a raise of at least $500 million.
posted 2026-09-28 · 60d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-27 (48d) |
Finance |
|
A Fed FOMC decision released between 2026-10-28 and 2026-11-30 holds the federal funds rate unchanged or raises it by 25bp, with no cuts.
posted 2026-10-09 · 52d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
Meta Business Agent will be listed as a product on the Meta Enterprise Platform website by 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Technology |
|
At least one publicly-traded US utility or grid equipment operator announces a material contract cancellation or supply chain restructuring citing Trump's foreign grid equipment executive order before 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-08-28 · 94d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Supply Chain |
|
The AI company associated with the security vulnerability chain announces the resumption of its model training schedule or releases a new model version by November 30, 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 61d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Technology |
|
The US 30-year fixed mortgage rate (Freddie Mac PMMS weekly survey) will remain above 7.0% for at least three consecutive weekly releases between 2026-09-11 and 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-09-10 · 51d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Finance |
|
By 20 October 2026, the United Kingdom government will have formally announced at least one of the following specific diplomatic or punitive measures in response to alleged Iranian state involvement in the RAF Fairford plot: the expulsion of an Iranian diplomat, the imposition of new sanctions on Iranian entities, or a public statement explicitly attributing the plot to Iran.
posted 2026-10-03 · 17d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Geopolitics |
|
By 2026-11-22, John Ternus will remain the CEO of Apple without a public announcement of his resignation, dismissal, or replacement by another executive.
posted 2026-09-23 · 60d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-11-22 (43d) |
Other |
|
At least one named insurer or P&I club publicly raises war-risk premiums for vessels transiting the Persian Gulf or Strait of Hormuz by at least 25% versus August 2026 levels, as reported by Lloyd's List, TradeWinds, or Reuters by 2026-11-05.
posted 2026-10-10 · 26d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-05 (26d) |
Finance |
|
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company reports Q3 2026 revenue growth of at least 30% year-over-year in its 16 October 2026 earnings release.
posted 2026-10-10 · 10d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Market |
|
The US Department of Defense will formally attribute the drone strikes on the US base in Kuwait to Iranian state actors or their proxies by 2026-10-20.
posted 2026-10-09 · 11d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Security |
|
By 2026-10-29, Cornell University will announce an independent external review of its handling of the 2024 Chi Phi sexual assault case.
posted 2026-09-29 · 30d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Society |
|
No binding US federal AI safety regulation or enforcement mechanism is enacted by the November 3, 2026 midterm election date, maintaining the voluntary compliance framework established in September 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Regulation |
|
Friedrich Merz and Volodymyr Zelensky will announce a joint framework for German financial or military aid to Ukraine by 2026-10-18.
posted 2026-10-04 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-18 (8d) |
Geopolitics |
|
European oil and gas pipelines operate without a major reported outage or sabotage incident through 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Energy |
|
The US announces a new sanctions package against Russia before 2026-11-29.
posted 2026-10-04 · 56d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-29 (50d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The UK Office of Financial Sanctions Implementation (OFSI) designates at least one additional Russian bank, financial institution, or shadow-fleet-linked entity before 3 December 2026.
posted 2026-10-04 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-12-03 (54d) |
Regulation |
|
Eli Lilly will announce that Jaypirca (pirtobrutinib) is commercially available in the U.S. for previously untreated CLL/SLL on or before 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-10-03 · 43d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Market |
|
By 2026-11-30, Benjamin Netanyahu will not publicly attribute the flydubai cockpit stabbing to Iran or any state actor.
posted 2026-10-01 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The United States Supreme Court will issue a final ruling denying Christa Pike's petition for a stay of execution by October 15, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Other |
|
Arizona State University places head hockey coach Greg Powers on administrative leave on or before 2026-10-29.
posted 2026-09-29 · 30d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Society |
|
Anthropic will publicly file its S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by 2026-10-30.
posted 2026-09-30 · 30d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Market |
|
AST SpaceMobile will announce the successful launch of the BlueBird 14, 15, and 16 satellite convoy to Cape Canaveral within 14 days (by October 14, 2026).
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Technology |
|
The US Treasury or OFAC publicly issues a general license, waiver, or guidance explicitly authorizing imports of Russian diesel or related petroleum products into the United States by 2026-11-21.
posted 2026-10-09 · 43d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-21 (42d) |
Regulation |
|
ITC Limited's board of directors will approve the proposed strategic combination between its subsidiary ITC Infotech and Happiest Minds Technologies by 2026-11-01.
posted 2026-09-02 · 60d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-01 (22d) |
Finance |
|
Israeli authorities will formally classify the stabbing incident on Flydubai flight FZ1073 as a confirmed terrorist attack and initiate a specific counter-terror investigation within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Security |
|
The Ethiopian federal government and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (or TPLF-aligned regional authority) will not sign a new ceasefire or political framework agreement before 2026-12-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The Assembly of States Parties to the Rome Statute will vote to adopt a formal resolution condemning the US sanctions and calling for their immediate lifting by 2026-11-10.
posted 2026-10-09 · 32d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-10 (31d) |
Geopolitics |
|
At least one US hyperscaler (Amazon, Google, Oracle, or Meta) will announce a specific named AI-infrastructure capex or data-center deal of $5B or more on or before 2026-10-16.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Technology |
|
In the Serbian snap parliamentary election held on 2026-10-25, the party led by Aleksandar Vucic, the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS), will win the largest share of seats in the National Assembly.
posted 2026-09-28 · 28d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-26 (16d) |
Society |
|
The Superior Electoral Court will officially publish the certified results of the Brazilian presidential runoff election held on October 25, 2026, by 2026-11-01.
posted 2026-10-09 · 23d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-01 (22d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The FOMC leaves the federal funds target range unchanged at its 2026-10-28 meeting.
posted 2026-09-21 · 37d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-28 (18d) |
Finance |
|
Strive discloses a bitcoin purchase of at least 500 BTC on or before 2026-10-28, increasing its total holdings above 27,462 BTC.
posted 2026-09-28 · 30d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-28 (18d) |
Market |
|
By 2026-10-20, at least one NATO member state (specifically Romania, Finland, or Poland) will issue a formal public statement confirming that it has intercepted or destroyed a Russian drone within its sovereign airspace or territorial waters as a direct consequence of the Ukraine conflict.
posted 2026-08-21 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Security |
|
Nvidia reports Q3 FY2027 (calendar Q3 2026) data center revenue at or above $35 billion in its earnings release.
posted 2026-09-26 · 65d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
Suez Canal transit continues without a multi-day disruption through 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Adobe will complete the transfer of CEO responsibilities from Shantanu Narayen to a named successor, as outlined in its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings materials, with the change taking effect on or before 2026-12-01.
posted 2026-09-11 · 60d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-10 (31d) |
Other |
|
Walmart will report that global e-commerce sales growth in its fiscal Q3 2027 (reported by 2026-10-19) is greater than 10% year-over-year.
posted 2026-08-20 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-19 (9d) |
Market |
|
Friedrich Merz will not resign as Chancellor of Germany by 2026-11-20.
posted 2026-09-21 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-20 (41d) |
Other |
|
Zero category 4 or stronger hurricanes make landfall in the United States before 2026-11-16.
posted 2026-10-05 · 42d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-16 (37d) |
Environment |
|
Microsoft discloses capital expenditure of $50 billion or more in its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report scheduled for October 2026.
posted 2026-08-30 · 75d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-13 (34d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-10-25, NBC will not have been banned from the White House by President Trump or its correspondents' press passes will not have been confiscated, as indicated by the absence of such an announcement in official White House channels or major news reports.
posted 2026-09-21 · 34d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-25 (15d) |
Regulation |
|
At least one additional ballistic missile launched by North Korea will be detected by South Korea or Japan between 2026-10-10 and 2026-12-02, with the launch and flight path reported by the South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff or Japanese Ministry of Defense.
posted 2026-10-03 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-12-02 (53d) |
Security |
|
The US Department of Defense or the UK Ministry of Defence will formally attribute the attacks on the two commercial vessels off Qatar and Fujairah to Iranian state actors or their proxies by 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-10-08 · 38d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The federal court will deny UnitedHealth Group's motion to dismiss the investor lawsuit alleging it manipulated earnings to hide declining profits within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Finance |
|
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva signs the critical minerals bill passed by Brazil's Congress into law by 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-10-02 · 29d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Energy |
|
The US Energy Information Administration's Weekly Petroleum Status Report shows WTI crude oil inventories drawing in at least one weekly report issued between 15 October and 20 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 41d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-20 (41d) |
Energy |
|
Dell will raise prices on at least one of its consumer PC lines (such as XPS or Inspiron) in the United States by 2026-10-23 to offset rising memory and storage component costs.
posted 2026-08-24 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
The Ethiopian and Eritrean governments will sign a formal ceasefire agreement or a joint statement de-escalating hostilities by 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-10-10 · 36d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The Tennessee state government or its legal counsel will issue a formal judicial motion to stay or invalidate the death sentence of Christa Pike by October 16, 2026, on the grounds that the botched execution procedure violates the Eighth Amendment and state law.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Other |
|
Federal or Texas state prosecutors will file formal charges (indictment or criminal complaint beyond initial arrest) against the suspect in the Texas State Capitol attack plot within the next three weeks.
posted 2026-10-02 · 21d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Security |
|
PepsiCo will reaffirm its full-year 2026 revenue growth outlook of 5% to 6% in the weeks following its Q3 earnings report.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-12-04, Scott Kupor makes at least one additional public appearance or statement (interview, congressional testimony, or social media post) specifically about the Super Intelligence Force's work or AI policy, beyond the October 4 announcement.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Technology |
|
The US Treasury (OFAC) will announce at least one new sanctions designation explicitly citing the Houthi FTO redesignation before 30 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 51d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Regulation |
|
South Carolina U.S. Senate candidate Annie Andrews will publicly reaffirm her opposition to biological males in women's sports during the campaign before the November 2026 general election.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Society |
|
Russia will conduct at least one further mass-casualty missile or drone strike on Ukraine (10+ reported killed in a single incident) before 10 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 31d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-10 (31d) |
Security |
|
Kanye West's scheduled performances in St. Petersburg, Russia, will not take place by October 15, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Other |
|
TSMC will report Q3 2026 revenue of at least NT$1.50 trillion in its 15 October 2026 earnings release.
posted 2026-10-05 · 11d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Finance |
|
Eritrea and Ethiopia formally declare a state of war or one party issues an official ultimatum demanding the other's military withdrawal, confirmed by UN Security Council reporting or official government statements, by 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 52d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The National Institutes of Health (NIH) will finalize and publicly announce a revised policy restricting the study of zoonotic spillover in wildlife reservoirs for the revived emerging disease research network.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Healthcare |
|
The Ukraine-Russia-US trilateral talks reportedly scheduled for 5 October 2026 in the UAE will not produce a signed ceasefire framework or armistice agreement before 15 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-05 · 41d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Apollo Global Management will lead a $40 billion financing package for SpaceX, structured as $10 billion in bank loans and $30 billion in investment-grade debt, announced before October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
The Houthis will conduct at least one further attack on a vessel or on Saudi/UAE/Israeli territory before 15 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 36d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Security |
|
Andy Burnham will not announce a new statutory ban on social media use for under-16s in the UK by 2026-10-26.
posted 2026-08-27 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-26 (16d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-11-30, Benjamin Netanyahu will formally announce his candidacy for the Knesset elections in the 27 October 2026 election.
posted 2026-10-01 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Other |
|
By 2026-10-31, Shein will not report that its US order volume or revenue has declined by more than 25% due to the removal of the de minimis exemption, specifically because the US government has successfully implemented and enforced the de minimis reform without watered-down exemptions that preserve the status quo for most low-value parcels.
posted 2026-09-01 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Market |
|
The Department of Labor's Office of the Inspector General will formally announce the inclusion of MIT in the investigation into J-1 visa fraud by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
Panama Canal transit restrictions remain unchanged or ease through 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Supply Chain |
|
The US and Iran will not reach a publicly announced diplomatic framework or interim deal to de-escalate the current standoff by 30 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 29d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Geopolitics |
|
OFAC will publish a rule in the Federal Register by 14 October 2026 implementing the removal of duplicative penalties provisions from its regulations as announced on 30 September 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Regulation |
|
By 9 December 2026, no California-based entity announces a new partnership, investment, or technology license with Tencent Hunyuan, citing compliance with US-China security regulations.
posted 2026-10-09 · 61d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-09 (60d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-10-27, the global memory industry will not experience a systemic demand correction that reverses the shortage, evidenced by the absence of any major cloud service provider (AWS, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud, or Meta) publicly announcing the cancellation or significant reduction of their 2026-2027 AI data center infrastructure investment plans due to memory cost overruns.
posted 2026-08-28 · 60d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-10-27 (17d) |
Market |
|
ASIAPAC FIN INV will hold its extraordinary general meeting to approve the proposed 2-for-1 rights issue on or before 2026-10-29.
posted 2026-09-29 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Market |
|
The European Central Bank will announce a policy rate hike at its monetary policy meeting held on October 29, 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 29d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Finance |
|
TSMC will publish a formal public announcement, press release, or regulatory filing confirming its decision to establish operational facilities in Kaohsiung's Baipu Industrial Park by 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-09-02 · 59d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Manufacturing |
|
Tyler Robinson will not be executed by the death penalty by 2026-11-01.
posted 2026-09-02 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-01 (22d) |
Other |
|
Walmart will begin accepting Apple Pay at its stores by 14 October 2026
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Market |
|
Major grain-export corridors operate without a reported disruption through 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-10-05 · 56d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Supply Chain |
|
SpaceX will formally file its FCC license application to transfer and operate the nationwide 800 MHz spectrum acquired from Grain Management by 23 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
Netflix will officially announce a release date for at least one Disney movie or show licensed under the new agreement by 2026-11-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 30d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-04 (25d) |
Market |
|
BleepingComputer publishes a detailed technical report analyzing the MiniPlasma Windows zero-day exploit and its impact on patched systems by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 13d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Security |
|
PepsiCo announces a formal cost-cutting plan, including headcount reductions or operational efficiencies, within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
Home Depot will announce a new quarterly dividend per share amount at or below the amount paid in fiscal Q2 2026 when it reports its fiscal Q3 2026 earnings in late September 2026.
posted 2026-08-19 · 60d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-18 (8d) |
Finance |
|
Bank of America will release an updated research note by October 23, 2026, explicitly confirming that the 2030 server CPU total addressable market estimate remains at or above $170 billion.
posted 2026-08-24 · 60d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
Qualcomm will file a formal legal document responding to Huawei's patent payment announcement in US federal court by 2026-11-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 30d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-04 (25d) |
Regulation |
|
Netflix will publicly announce a workforce reduction of at least 5% of its global workforce by 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
The U.S. Department of Commerce formally designates at least one additional Iranian entity or vessel involved in the expanded tanker-strike campaign (attacks off Qatar and Fujairah) under IEEPA or Iran sanctions authorities before 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-10-08 · 38d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Suncor Energy, Inc. will announce the final regulatory approval and closing of the sale of its stakes in the Terra Nova, White Rose, and West White Rose fields to Ithaca Energy PLC by 2026-12-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Finance |
|
OpenAI will not announce a new release date for GPT-6.1 Astra by 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Technology |
|
A publicly reported Iranian strike on a tanker, LNG carrier, or energy facility outside the Strait of Hormuz (Gulf of Oman, Red Sea, or Arabian Sea) occurs between 2026-10-08 and 2026-11-15.
posted 2026-10-08 · 38d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Microsoft will file its Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026 with the SEC by October 30, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 29d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Finance |
|
China conducts zero large-scale military exercises around Taiwan before 2026-11-20.
posted 2026-10-09 · 42d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-20 (41d) |
Security |
|
Lloyd's Joint War Committee expands or maintains the enhanced-risk listed area covering the Persian Gulf/Strait of Hormuz on or before 2026-11-30, and does not remove Hormuz from listed areas.
posted 2026-09-28 · 63d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-10-28, the FAA opens a formal review or investigation into the environmental or safety aspects of Starship's orbital flight.
posted 2026-09-28 · 30d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-28 (18d) |
Regulation |
|
Andersen Global will confirm the integration of Samdani & Qureshi as 'Andersen Legal in Pakistan' as a new member firm by October 16, 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Finance |
|
TSMC will not report a sequential decline in revenue greater than 5% in its Q3 2026 earnings release, scheduled to be published between September 3 and October 31, 2026.
posted 2026-09-01 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Market |
|
JPMorgan Chase will announce the pricing of a public debt offering launched from the 2 October 2026 FWP filings by 16 October 2026, with total principal amount of at least $1 billion.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Market |
|
IHG Hotels & Resorts completes a share buyback transaction by October 15, 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Finance |
|
The European Central Bank will explicitly state in its December 2026 monetary policy meeting minutes that the Iran conflict has necessitated a revision of its medium-term inflation outlook upward, or announce a specific timeline for the next rate adjustment that differs from its previous guidance.
posted 2026-10-08 · 54d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-01 (52d) |
Finance |
|
France's High Council for Public Finance will reject the government's 1.0% GDP growth forecast for the 2027 budget by October 16, 2026, recommending a downward revision to 0.5% or less.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Other |
|
The Carnegie Mellon University Board of Trustees votes to formally accept Ken Griffin's $3 billion gift and approves the establishment of the Miami Wynwood campus by 30 October 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 30d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Education |
|
The Department of Justice will file a federal appeal against the livestreaming order for the December 3, 2026 execution of Nidal Hasan by 2026-12-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-08 (59d) |
Society |
|
Katie Zacharia is officially sworn in as White House Press Secretary by October 24, 2026
posted 2026-10-10 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-24 (14d) |
Other |
|
The PBoC leaves the one-year loan prime rate unchanged at the 2026-10-20 monthly fixing.
posted 2026-09-26 · 24d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Finance |
|
Panama declares a state of national emergency following the magnitude 7.7 earthquake and associated tsunami damage by October 16, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 7d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Environment |
|
The government of the Netherlands summons the U.S. ambassador to formally protest the U.S. sanctions on the International Criminal Court by 31 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 22d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Waymo will announce the specific deployment of the $5 billion term loan proceeds to a new geographic market or operational expansion by November 22, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 44d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-22 (43d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-11-30, Vladimir Putin will sign the 2027-2029 federal budget law after its adoption by the State Duma and the Federation Council.
posted 2026-10-01 · 60d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Finance |
|
SoFi will file a formal amendment to its SEC registration statement (such as an S-1 or 10-K) that explicitly includes a risk factor regarding the liquidity and volatility of SpaceX shares on or before 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Regulation |
|
TIKR will publish a valuation model or analysis for Microsoft (MSFT) that explicitly incorporates Microsoft's fiscal Q1 2027 earnings results, reported later in October 2026, by 2026-12-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Market |
|
At least one European NATO member government (France, Germany, UK, Italy, or Netherlands) publicly criticizes or formally dissents from the Trump-Putin diesel deal by 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-10-09 · 22d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Geopolitics |
|
By 2026-10-26, the Securities and Exchange Commission will not issue a formal enforcement order, subpoena, or public statement initiating a legal investigation into Elon Musk's $100 billion Louisiana spaceport announcement or SpaceX's IPO pricing disclosures.
posted 2026-08-27 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-26 (16d) |
Regulation |
|
Micron Technology will file its initial response (answer) to Netlist's new ITC Section 337 complaint covering HBM3E/HBM4 patents, which also names Nvidia, Broadcom, and Google as customers, with the U.S. International Trade Commission by 2026-11-28.
posted 2026-09-29 · 60d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-11-28 (49d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-12-04, the U.S. Department of Defense will publicly announce free credit monitoring or identity-protection services for individuals affected by the Defense Manpower Data Center data breach.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Security |
|
Amazon.com, Inc. files its Q3 2026 10-K earnings report with the SEC by November 12, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 34d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-11-12 (33d) |
Finance |
|
AST SpaceMobile will not issue a public disclosure, guidance revision, or filing citing Falcon 9 launch capacity constraints or delays as a driver of its production or deployment timeline within 75 days.
posted 2026-08-15 · 75d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Supply Chain |
|
At least one S&P 500 constituent issues a downward revision to its full-year guidance during the Q3 2026 earnings season (15 October – 15 November 2026).
posted 2026-09-21 · 55d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-15 (36d) |
Market |
|
AST SpaceMobile will announce the execution of a commercial satellite broadband contract worth over $500 million with at least one Japanese telecommunications operator within 14 days of the J-LEO selection.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
The U.S. International Trade Commission (USITC) will initiate a Section 337 investigation into certain Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) devices and products containing the same, as filed in complaint DN 3939, within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-10-01 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Regulation |
|
Aetna, the insurance arm of CVS Health, submits at least one request for reconsideration to CMS for its 2027 Medicare Advantage star ratings by 2026-10-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 21d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Regulation |
|
Chevron will declare force majeure on at least one crude or refined product supply contract on or before 2026-10-20.
posted 2026-10-09 · 11d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Supply Chain |
|
By 2026-11-16, Bank of America Securities will not issue a formal research note raising its price target on Apple Inc. (AAPL) to $400 or higher.
posted 2026-09-17 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-16 (37d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-10-27, Kioxia Holdings will not announce the formal cancellation, suspension, or material reduction of its $31 billion investment plan with SanDisk in Japan, nor will the plan be publicly withdrawn due to failure to secure Japanese government subsidies or funding.
posted 2026-08-28 · 60d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-27 (17d) |
Supply Chain |
|
New York Governor Kathy Hochul will maintain her demand for an immediate halt to ICE operations in New York and refuse to rescind it within 14 days
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
SpaceX will not announce a new direct-to-cell or satellite-to-ground wireless spectrum agreement with a major U.S. carrier by October 14, 2026, as the company pivots to prioritize AI compute revenue targets.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Technology |
|
Dmitry Peskov will not publicly confirm by 2026-10-15 that Vladimir Putin has accepted Volodymyr Zelenskyy's proposal to meet on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Miami.
posted 2026-09-13 · 32d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-15 (5d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Google Cloud will announce the general availability of the Gemini agent for Microsoft 365 by 23 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Technology |
|
Markwayne Mullin, the US Secretary of Homeland Security, will publicly condemn the shooting incident in New York City or announce a formal review of the circumstances within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
The FCC adopts the item on its 29 October 2026 open meeting agenda making the additional 482 MHz of spectrum eligible for Supplemental Coverage from Space leasing.
posted 2026-10-09 · 20d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Regulation |
|
The FCC will issue a public notice accepting for filing the application by SpaceX and Grain Management for consent to transfer Grain's spectrum portfolio, and will set a pleading cycle for petitions to deny, on or before 2026-10-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 21d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Regulation |
|
Nvidia publicly confirms that the $20 billion Groq licensing agreement remains in full effect and not subject to termination or renegotiation due to the pending lawsuit by 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Finance |
|
The South African government will deploy security forces to quell the anti-migrant riots and restore public order in the affected provinces by 23 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Society |
|
The US federal government will formally clarify its position on the livestreaming of Nidal Hasan's execution, resolving the public contradiction between Vice President JD Vance and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, by 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
84% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Society |
|
Fortune will publish its 2026 Most Powerful Women list by 2026-10-31, and AMD CEO Lisa Su will be ranked in the top 10.
posted 2026-10-04 · 27d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Society |
|
JD Vance will not be formally named as the Republican Party's 2028 presidential nominee or candidate on or before 2026-12-02.
posted 2026-10-03 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-12-02 (53d) |
Society |
|
The U.S. Department of Commerce issues a formal final determination on the Qualcomm-Huawei patent license transaction by 2026-11-04.
posted 2026-10-05 · 30d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-04 (25d) |
Regulation |
|
The Delaware Court of Chancery issues a written order setting a schedule for dispositive motions or a preliminary hearing in the Groq vs. Nvidia lawsuit by 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-12-04, the 'Super Intelligence Force' task force led by Jay Clayton and including Andrew Ferguson will formally deliver its final report to the President of the United States.
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Regulation |
|
The US Federal Communications Commission will not formally open a foreign ownership review investigation into Paramount Skydance's $110 billion acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery by 21 November 2026.
posted 2026-09-22 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-21 (42d) |
Regulation |
|
Walmart will not issue a public statement or filing disclosing a supply disruption or price increase for GLP-1 products within 75 days.
posted 2026-08-15 · 75d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Sanofi will record a $1.0 billion research and development expense related to the Regeneron upfront payment in its Q3 2026 earnings release published by 31 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 30d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Finance |
|
Microsoft Azure will announce a pilot deployment of Lattice Semiconductor FPGAs for post-quantum cryptography security offload in its Arm-based AI data centers by 2026-11-07.
posted 2026-10-09 · 29d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-11-07 (28d) |
Technology |
|
Captain Smit Machchhar will have been discharged from hospital (acute inpatient care ended) following treatment for injuries sustained in the FZ1073 cockpit attack by 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-10-01 · 60d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Healthcare |
|
The CFTC publishes a Federal Register notice announcing receipt of Blockchain.com's designated contract market application and opening a public comment period by 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Regulation |
|
Euroclear will not release any portion of the frozen Russian central bank assets to Russia before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Finance |
|
By November 3, 2026, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) will not publicly report a decline in data center revenue year-over-year exceeding 10% in its Q3 2026 earnings release, indicating that no systemic equity market correction has occurred that suppressed its AI-driven fundamentals.
posted 2026-09-04 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-03 (24d) |
Market |
|
Intel will maintain its status as the designated manufacturing partner for Terafab's 14A process node without public announcement of its removal or replacement by 2026-12-04
posted 2026-10-05 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-12-04 (55d) |
Manufacturing |
|
By 2026-10-28, the UK government will formally announce a contingency plan to mitigate the impact of a US diesel export ban, including measures to secure alternative fuel supplies or release strategic reserves.
posted 2026-09-28 · 30d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-28 (18d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Disney will report restructuring charges related to the TV reorganization in its Q4 FY2026 earnings release on or before 15 November 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 30d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-11-01 (22d) |
Market |
|
By 2026-12-01, Volodymyr Zelensky will sign into law the extension of martial law and general mobilization in Ukraine.
posted 2026-10-02 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-12-01 (52d) |
Security |
|
Between 2026-10-11 and 2026-12-03, Saudi Arabia will publicly announce a retaliatory military strike against Houthi-held territory in Yemen in direct response to the missile and drone attack on the Aramco facility in Riyadh.
posted 2026-10-04 · 60d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-12-03 (54d) |
Security |
|
European Union member states will not enact a collective ban on US diesel exports by October 16, 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Other |
|
Anthropic will not issue a public statement or disclosure identifying Nvidia RTX PRO 5500 supply or Chinese regulatory policy as a material risk to its data center expansion plans by November 12, 2026.
posted 2026-09-28 · 45d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-12 (33d) |
Other |
|
The U.S. Department of Commerce will publish the final determination for the countervailing duty investigation of N-Cyclohexylbenzothiazole-2-Sulfenamide from China by 2026-11-07.
posted 2026-10-08 · 30d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-11-07 (28d) |
Regulation |
|
NIH will finalize and publicly announce the leadership appointment for the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) by 24 October 2026, resolving the controversy over the exclusion of Steven Quay.
posted 2026-10-10 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-24 (14d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-10-23, Sony will officially raise the global retail price of its PlayStation 5 console by at least 10% to offset the 13% drop in hardware sales caused by the memory and storage shortage.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
Amazon, in its Q3 2026 earnings release, guides fourth-quarter 2026 net sales to at least $200 billion.
posted 2026-10-10 · 26d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-05 (26d) |
Market |
|
Qualcomm files a Form 8-K with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission disclosing the Huawei cross-licensing agreement on or before 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
Constellation Brands completes its acquisition of SpikedAde by 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Market |
|
The U.S. Small Business Administration opens at least one Business Recovery Center in Bay County, Florida, by 2026-11-08.
posted 2026-10-09 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-11-08 (29d) |
Finance |
|
Exxon Mobil files a formal notice of arbitration regarding the Kashagan dispute with its partners by 2026-10-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 21d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Other |
|
By 2026-11-06, OpenAI will file a motion to dismiss in the copyright infringement lawsuit brought by Editorial Perfil against OpenAI and Microsoft.
posted 2026-10-09 · 28d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-06 (27d) |
Regulation |
|
The European Commission formally rejects the finance ministers' agreement on the ESMA supervision regime in October 2026, preventing its immediate adoption without further negotiation.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-10-24, the White House will enforce its new mandate by requiring Anthropic to submit a specific remediation plan addressing the August/September security incidents involving unauthorized government system access.
posted 2026-10-10 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-24 (14d) |
Regulation |
|
Zero NATO Article 4 consultations or alliance-level deployment decisions are announced before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Security |
|
The Dutch government formally rejects Russia's extradition request for ICC President Tomoko Akane and eight other ICC officials by 2026-10-30.
posted 2026-10-09 · 21d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-30 (20d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Nikon Corporation announces a replacement first-place winner for its 2026 Small World in Motion competition by 31 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-10 · 21d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Technology |
|
OpenAI publicly clarifies its revenue accounting methodology in a written statement or filing by October 14, 2026, to address the $50B vs $70B discrepancy.
posted 2026-10-09 · 5d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Finance |
|
The Belgian government maintains its existing spending cuts and rejects formal concessions on the austerity package by 23 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
DeepSeek does not disclose a new Nvidia H200 procurement or usage announcement in its official channels within 75 days of 2026-08-20
posted 2026-08-20 · 75d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-03 (24d) |
Supply Chain |
|
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) will finalize the payment rates for 2027 Medicare Advantage plans by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-10-23, T-Mobile US will announce a new strategic partnership or spectrum acquisition agreement specifically designed to counter SpaceX's Starlink Mobile spectrum advantage.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
Ultragenyx will announce the U.S. commercial launch of Genglycos on or before 2026-10-31.
posted 2026-10-02 · 29d before deadline
|
75% |
2026-10-31 (21d) |
Healthcare |
|
ConocoPhillips will not sign a new major upstream production agreement (exceeding $1 billion in capex or 100,000 barrels per day) with the Syrian Petroleum Company or within Syria between October 2, 2026, and October 16, 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Energy |
|
Apple Inc. will not officially deny the report of a 15% cut to iPhone 18 Pro component orders within the next 14 days.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Technology |
|
Archer Aviation will not file a Form 8-K or public disclosure within 75 days stating that the capture of Anduril's Dive-LD underwater vehicle has directly disrupted its supply chain, component sourcing, or operational capabilities.
posted 2026-09-09 · 75d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-11-23 (44d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Tesla will not disclose a new partnership or hardware integration with Nvidia for its Optimus robot platform within the next 75 days.
posted 2026-08-15 · 75d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Technology |
|
NATO does not announce a deployment of tactical nuclear weapons in Latvia by 14 October 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Security |
|
CoreWeave will report a full-year net loss exceeding $1 billion in its FY2026 earnings filing due to interest expense on ~$30 billion of debt at 9% rates and data center depreciation, despite the $62 billion in Meta commitments.
posted 2026-08-25 · 60d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-24 (14d) |
Finance |
|
Simply Wall St publishes a new, distinct analysis article for at least one of the following tickers by October 23, 2026: Tesla (TSLA), SpaceX, Black Hills (BKH), Netflix (NFLX), DoorDash (DASH), ASML, or HubSpot.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Technology |
|
The White House will not issue a formal written objection or legal hold to the CFTC's two proposed rules defining event contracts as swaps by 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-12-08, the Russian Ministry of Emergency Situations will officially confirm that the drone strike on the Omsk oil refinery resulted in a fire that was fully extinguished and caused no casualties.
posted 2026-10-09 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-12-08 (59d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Zero coups or unconstitutional changes of government occur in G20 states before 2026-10-14.
posted 2026-08-19 · 56d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Geopolitics |
|
By 2026-10-29, at least one major Chromebook OEM (Acer, Lenovo, HP, Dell, or Asus) will announce a new device shipping with Googlebook OS.
posted 2026-09-29 · 30d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Technology |
|
By 2026-10-29, Microsoft will not publicly announce a new, named strategic partnership or joint AI product initiative with Oracle Cloud that specifically targets the 'underdog' market positioning described in recent coverage.
posted 2026-08-30 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Market |
|
The Department of Homeland Security will publicly announce a formal internal investigation or disciplinary action regarding the ICE agent who shot a man in New York City on October 9, 2026, by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Security |
|
CNBC will publish a dedicated article or broadcast a segment specifically analyzing the Federal Reserve's policy outlook following the October 2026 inflation data release by 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
SpaceX will complete the acquisition of the low-band spectrum portfolio from Grain Management by 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Technology |
|
No new public statements, arrests, or legal actions involving Yevgeny Prigozhin are reported by 14 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-01 · 13d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Geopolitics |
|
Lockheed Martin does not formally file an appeal or legal challenge regarding the Boeing F/A-XX award decision by October 14, 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Regulation |
|
Ethiopia and Eritrea will announce a formal agreement to restore diplomatic relations or reopen their respective embassies before 2026-11-30.
posted 2026-10-08 · 53d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-30 (51d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The US Coast Guard will issue a formal statement confirming that the search operation for the missing Gulfstream G100 off Nantucket has concluded without locating the aircraft or any survivors.
posted 2026-10-03 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-17 (7d) |
Security |
|
No new regulatory enforcement action, insolvency filing, or material negative news regarding Arrived Homes is reported by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Other |
|
The US Department of Education will not issue a new executive order or final rule prohibiting the removal of books from public school curricula in states with Republican-led legislatures by October 19, 2026.
posted 2026-10-05 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-19 (9d) |
Regulation |
|
EquityMultiple will not announce a material capital raise or merger/acquisition by October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
Zero new frontier AI model releases are announced by OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic before 2026-11-20.
posted 2026-10-09 · 42d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-11-20 (41d) |
Technology |
|
Amazon will not announce a new partnership, contract, or capital expenditure specifically tied to the Nvidia Cosmos 3 Edge or Vera Rubin Japan AI factory within the next 75 days.
posted 2026-08-15 · 75d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-29 (19d) |
Technology |
|
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) will not issue a safety recall or formal enforcement action against Tesla's robotaxi operations in Nevada before October 20, 2026.
posted 2026-08-21 · 60d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-20 (10d) |
Regulation |
|
By October 23, 2026, ByteDance or TikTok will file a formal public response or initiate a legal challenge against Meta's ban on ByteDance advertising, explicitly citing anti-competitive practices or trade discrimination.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
81% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
No single market-moving event causes the Dow Jones Industrial Average to swing more than 400 points in a single trading session between October 9, 2026, and October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Market |
|
Zacks will not announce a material change to its corporate leadership, business strategy, or ownership structure between October 9, 2026, and October 23, 2026.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Finance |
|
Grail will not submit a new FDA regulatory filing or announce a new clinical trial partnership by October 16, 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Regulation |
|
No major hedge fund or asset manager publishes a new quarterly investor letter that cites the September 2026 US market drawdown as the primary driver for a portfolio strategy shift within 14 days.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
77% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Market |
|
By October 14, 2026, AMD will not issue a formal revision to its fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance, maintaining its previously stated targets.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Finance |
|
Ukraine will not issue a public apology to South Korea by 16 October 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 14d before deadline
|
79% |
2026-10-16 (6d) |
Geopolitics |
|
The German Federal Ministry of the Interior will not issue a formal public press release confirming the specific financial value or final contract duration of the Planet Labs Germany tender award by 5 December 2026.
posted 2026-10-02 · 64d before deadline
|
82% |
2026-12-05 (56d) |
Geopolitics |
|
HP will not disclose a new memory chip procurement strategy or supplier switch involving CXMT within 75 days.
posted 2026-08-28 · 75d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-11-11 (32d) |
Supply Chain |
|
Blockchain.com will not receive CFTC approval for a designated contract market license by 2026-10-23.
posted 2026-10-09 · 14d before deadline
|
78% |
2026-10-23 (13d) |
Regulation |
|
The Federal Communications Commission will not vote on any new binding regulatory action concerning submarine cable protections before October 14, 2026.
posted 2026-09-30 · 14d before deadline
|
76% |
2026-10-14 (4d) |
Regulation |
|
By 2026-12-03, Nasdaq will not have published any formal announcement naming Rocket Lab as a new Nasdaq-100 constituent.
posted 2026-10-04 · 60d before deadline
|
83% |
2026-12-03 (54d) |
Finance |
|
By 2026-11-03, Anthropic will not complete a public Initial Public Offering (IPO) or price its shares, evidenced by the absence of an SEC-effective S-1 registration statement or a formal Nasdaq/NYSE listing announcement on or before that date.
posted 2026-09-04 · 60d before deadline
|
80% |
2026-11-03 (24d) |
Finance |