The FCC adopts the item on its 29 October 2026 open meeting agenda making the additional 482 MHz of spectrum eligible for Supplemental Coverage from Space leasing.
Posted 2026-10-09 — 20 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
The FCC adopts the item on its 29 October 2026 open meeting agenda making the additional 482 MHz of spectrum eligible for Supplemental Coverage from Space leasing.
Reasoning trace
- FCC scheduled the 482 MHz SCS leasing item for 29 October
- Commissioners vote on the item
- FCC adopts the proposal
Evidence so far
1 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-10-10) — 75% at mint → 80% today.
What to watch
- precondition The FCC publishes the Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (NPRM) for the 482 MHz SCS leasing item in the Federal Register
- milestone The FCC releases the public comment period for the 482 MHz SCS leasing proposal
- precondition The FCC publishes a public notice or agenda item confirming the 482 MHz SCS leasing proposal is on the 29 October 2026 open meeting agenda
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.