← All open predictions

Will Nvidia's market cap exceed AMD's $1 trillion by September 30, 2026?

closed deadline 2026-10-06

Posted 2026-09-23, stated before the outcome.

Resolved: realized on 2026-09-29. Every resolution is audited for genuine foresight vs echo.

Nvidia and AMD are major semiconductor companies that design graphics processing units and other chips. Market capitalization is a financial metric used to compare the total value of publicly traded companies.

The claim

Nvidia's market capitalization surpasses AMD's $1 trillion market capitalization by September 30, 2026

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.