Will SK hynix announce a board-approved treasury share buyback of at least 10 trillion won on or before 2026-11-13?
Posted 2026-10-28 — 16 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
SK hynix is a South Korean semiconductor manufacturer listed on the Korea Exchange. A treasury share buyback is a corporate action in which a company purchases its own shares after board approval. The question addresses whether such an announcement meeting the size and timing criteria will occur.
The claim
SK hynix will announce a board-approved treasury share buyback of at least 10 trillion won on or before 2026-11-13.
Reasoning trace
- SK hynix reported record Q3 profit and announced a 60 trillion won buyback plan
- Fiscal year ends December 31, so execution must begin soon
- SK hynix board approves and discloses the first tranche treasury share acquisition
Evidence so far
4 confirming · 0 denying signals · 3 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 5 times since mint (last on 2026-10-29) — 65% at mint → 82% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator SK hynix files a Disclosure of Material Facts (공시) with the Korea Exchange and financial regulators detailing the board's approval of the treasury share acquisition plan
- milestone SK hynix's board of directors holds a formal meeting and records a resolution approving the specific buyback amount
- precondition SK hynix's Board of Directors formally votes to approve the specific treasury share buyback program details
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.