← All open predictions

Will the Cboe C2 step-up rule remain effective without SEC suspension by 16 September 2026?

closed deadline 2026-09-16

Posted 2026-09-03, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The Cboe Exchange operates the C2 market, a venue for trading equity options. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has the authority to review, suspend, or reverse proposed exchange rule changes to ensure compliance with federal securities laws.

The claim

The Cboe Exchange rule change to implement a step-up mechanism for its C2 exchange, filed and granted immediate effectiveness on September 2, 2026, will become the operative trading rule without being suspended or reversed by the SEC before September 16, 2026.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.