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James Comey files a motion in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to dismiss the October 2026 Espionage Act charges against him on statute-of-limitations grounds by 2026-12-26.

probability 84% deadline 2026-12-26 (59d left) Security

Posted 2026-10-27 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

James Comey files a motion in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to dismiss the October 2026 Espionage Act charges against him on statute-of-limitations grounds by 2026-12-26.

Reasoning trace

  1. Signpost: James Comey files a motion in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to dismiss the October 2026 Espionage Act charges on statute-of-limitations grounds.
  2. This signals that the limitations defense flagged by Comey's lawyers is being pressed in court; if the motion succeeds, the third prosecution against Comey would be dismissed before trial.

Evidence so far

5 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 3 times since mint (last on 2026-10-28) — 60% at mint → 84% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.