Apple will report Q4 FY2026 earnings on October 29, 2026, with diluted EPS of at least $1.90.
Posted 2026-10-01 — 28 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
Apple will report Q4 FY2026 earnings on October 29, 2026, with diluted EPS of at least $1.90.
Reasoning trace
- Apple confirmed its Q4 FY2026 earnings report for October 29, 2026, after market close, with analyst consensus EPS of $1.98
- Q3 FY2026 showed strong momentum: revenue $109.4B (+16% YoY), EPS $2.02 (+29% YoY), with record Services revenues and iPhone 18 Pro launch in 65+ markets on September 18
- iPhone Duo pre-orders begin October 16 and ship October 23, contributing some revenue in Q4, and Services segment continues record trajectory
- Combined hardware cycle strength and Services growth support EPS at or above $1.90, barring a major macro shock
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 4 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-01) — 82% at mint → 82% today.
What to watch
- milestone Apple announces its Q4 FY2026 earnings report date and time (October 29, 2026, after market close) via official press release or investor relations channel
- milestone Apple files its Q4 FY2026 10-Q with the SEC on EDGAR, containing the GAAP diluted EPS figure
- precondition Apple schedules and publicly announces the Q4 FY2026 earnings report date and time (October 29, 2026, after market close) via investor relations channels or SEC filing
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.