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Anthropic will publicly announce a new enterprise AI-agent security product, framework, or governance offering before 2 December 2026.

probability 79% deadline 2026-12-02 (59d left) Technology

Posted 2026-10-04 — 59 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

Anthropic will publicly announce a new enterprise AI-agent security product, framework, or governance offering before 2 December 2026.

Reasoning trace

  1. AI Agent Security Platforms topic growing 396%
  2. Enterprise customers demand governance controls to deploy agents
  3. Anthropic has differentiated on safety and will capitalize commercially

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-04) — 70% at mint → 79% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.