By 30 October 2026, Salah Sarsour files a notice of appeal with the Board of Immigration Appeals challenging the immigration judge's removal order.
Posted 2026-09-30 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
By 30 October 2026, Salah Sarsour files a notice of appeal with the Board of Immigration Appeals challenging the immigration judge's removal order.
Reasoning trace
- Immigration judge rules Sarsour deportable under cold-war-era law
- Sarsour's counsel files a notice of appeal to prevent removal
- BIA docket shows the appeal by 30 October
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-30) — 83% at mint → 81% today.
What to watch
- precondition The immigration judge issues a written removal order or final decision in Sarsour's case
- precondition Salah Sarsour's legal counsel files a notice of appeal with the Board of Immigration Appeals
- leading indicator The Board of Immigration Appeals docket for Sarsour's case displays a 'Notice of Appeal' entry
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.