Will the FOMC leave the federal funds target range unchanged on 16 September 2026?
Posted 2026-09-01, stated before the outcome.
The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is the primary monetary policy body of the U.S. Federal Reserve System. It meets regularly to set the target range for the federal funds rate, which influences borrowing costs and economic activity.
The claim
The FOMC leaves the federal funds target range unchanged at its 2026-09-16 meeting.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.