James Talarico and Ken Paxton will participate in at least one televised debate before the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election on November 3, 2026.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.