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The Houthis claim, or Saudi authorities confirm, at least one further missile or drone strike on a Saudi Aramco facility (any site other than the headquarters strike of 14 October) by 31 October 2026.

closed deadline 2026-10-31

Posted 2026-10-24, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

The Houthis claim, or Saudi authorities confirm, at least one further missile or drone strike on a Saudi Aramco facility (any site other than the headquarters strike of 14 October) by 31 October 2026.

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Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.