Microsoft will not lose the Coles contract to Palantir, as the Coles-Palantir partnership remains distinct from any existing Microsoft engagement in Australia.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.