← All open predictions

OpenAI will begin rolling out Dots to ChatGPT Plus and Enterprise subscribers by 2026-10-15.

probability 83% deadline 2026-10-15 (13d left) Technology

Posted 2026-09-29 — 16 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

OpenAI will begin rolling out Dots to ChatGPT Plus and Enterprise subscribers by 2026-10-15.

Reasoning trace

  1. OpenAI introduced Dots at DevDay on 29 September 2026
  2. Paid ChatGPT subscribers and enterprise customers expect early access to new agents
  3. OpenAI begins rolling out Dots to Plus and Enterprise tiers

Evidence so far

23 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 3 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 7 times since mint (last on 2026-10-01) — 54% at mint → 83% today.

What to watch

  • milestone OpenAI updates the ChatGPT Plus or Enterprise pricing page or feature comparison matrix to list 'Dots' as an included capability.
  • leading indicator OpenAI sends a targeted email notification to a sample of ChatGPT Plus or Enterprise users announcing the activation of Dots.
  • leading indicator OpenAI publishes a public release note or blog post announcing the availability of Dots for ChatGPT Plus and Enterprise tiers

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.