Will the Bank of Japan leave its policy rate unchanged at its 2026-12-18 meeting?
Posted 2026-11-05 — 43 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The Bank of Japan is the central bank of Japan. It holds scheduled meetings to set monetary policy, including the level of its policy interest rate. Questions of this type arise from the routine public interest in the outcomes of those meetings.
The claim
The Bank of Japan leaves its policy rate unchanged at its 2026-12-18 meeting.
Reasoning trace
- Core question: boj_rate_decision (instance 3)
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-11-05) — 78% at mint → 83% today.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.