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Micron Technology will file its initial response (answer) to Netlist's new ITC Section 337 complaint covering HBM3E/HBM4 patents, which also names Nvidia, Broadcom, and Google as customers, with the U.S. International Trade Commission by 2026-11-28.

probability 87% deadline 2026-11-28 (59d left) Regulation

Posted 2026-09-29 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

Micron Technology will file its initial response (answer) to Netlist's new ITC Section 337 complaint covering HBM3E/HBM4 patents, which also names Nvidia, Broadcom, and Google as customers, with the U.S. International Trade Commission by 2026-11-28.

Reasoning trace

  1. Parallel: Netlist v. SK hynix (ITC Inv. No. 337-TA-1315, 2022), sim=9
  2. Netlist's 2022 ITC complaint against a memory maker was instituted within about 30 days and the respondent filed its initial response within weeks; the same 19 C.F.R. § 210.13 procedural clock applies to Micron's new HBM complaint.
  3. Parallel: Netlist v. Samsung (ITC Inv. No. 337-TA-1314, 2022), sim=8
  4. ITC instituted and Samsung answered before the case later settled, confirming that Netlist memory-patent complaints routinely reach the respondent-answer stage.
  5. Parallel: Broadcom v. Qualcomm (ITC Inv. No. 337-TA-593, 2007), sim=7

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 3 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-29) — 75% at mint → 87% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.