← All open predictions

Japan's FY2027 defense budget request is formally submitted at or above JPY 8.5 trillion (approximately US$56 billion) by 2026-09-30.

closed deadline 2026-09-30

Posted 2026-09-02, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

Japan's FY2027 defense budget request is formally submitted at or above JPY 8.5 trillion (approximately US$56 billion) by 2026-09-30.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.