← All open predictions

Canada and the US hold a formal bilateral trade meeting or announce a negotiation resumption before 2026-10-31 following the current retaliatory tariff cycle.

closed deadline 2026-10-31

Posted 2026-09-02, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

Canada and the US hold a formal bilateral trade meeting or announce a negotiation resumption before 2026-10-31 following the current retaliatory tariff cycle.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.