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Will Fortune's 2026 Most Powerful Women list rank AMD CEO Lisa Su in the top 10 by 31 October 2026?

probability 79% deadline 2026-10-31 (26d left) Society

Posted 2026-10-04 — 27 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

Fortune is a business magazine that publishes annual rankings of influential individuals. The Most Powerful Women list identifies prominent female leaders across various industries.

The claim

Fortune will publish its 2026 Most Powerful Women list by 2026-10-31, and AMD CEO Lisa Su will be ranked in the top 10.

Reasoning trace

  1. Parallel: Fortune's 2024 Most Powerful Women list (Oct 2024), sim=8
  2. AMD CEO Lisa Su was ranked in the top 10 of the 2024 list; Fortune's annual ranking consistently places her among the most powerful women while AMD is a leading AI-chip maker
  3. The 2026 list, due in the same annual cycle, will again place Su in the top 10

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-04) — 87% at mint → 79% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.