The AT&T-T-Mobile-Verizon spectrum-pooling joint venture files an application with the FCC seeking approval of the pooling arrangement by 31 October 2026.
Posted 2026-10-01 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
The AT&T-T-Mobile-Verizon spectrum-pooling joint venture files an application with the FCC seeking approval of the pooling arrangement by 31 October 2026.
Reasoning trace
- AT&T, T-Mobile and Verizon signed the spectrum-pooling JV
- Pooling licensed spectrum across carriers requires FCC approval for license transfers or assignments
- The JV files an FCC application for the pooling arrangement
Evidence so far
9 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-10-02) — 70% at mint → 80% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator The FCC's Electronic Comment Filing System (ECFS) displays a new docket number or case ID specifically referencing the AT&T, T-Mobile, and Verizon spectrum-pooling joint venture.
- leading indicator The FCC's 'Pending Applications' or 'Recently Filed' public registry lists the AT&T-T-Mobile-Verizon spectrum-pooling application as pending
- milestone The FCC's Electronic Comment Filing System (ECFS) displays a public docket entry or application filed by AT&T, T-Mobile, or Verizon regarding the spectrum-pooling joint venture
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.