Will NVIDIA report EPS above consensus by 30 November 2026?
Posted 2026-08-29 — 93 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
NVIDIA is a semiconductor company that designs graphics processing units and AI chips. Quarterly earnings reports disclose financial performance metrics, including earnings per share, which are compared against analyst estimates.
The claim
NVIDIA reports quarterly earnings per share above the analyst consensus in its next scheduled quarterly report, released by 2026-11-30.
Reasoning trace
- Core question: earnings_nvda (instance 2)
Evidence so far
54 confirming · 1 denying signals · 13 verified · 5 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 66 times since mint (last on 2026-10-21) — 69% at mint → 79% today.
What to watch
- milestone NVIDIA files an SEC Form 8-K disclosing the specific date for the upcoming quarterly earnings release observed
- milestone NVIDIA's Q3 2026 GAAP and non-GAAP net income and share count are finalized and verified by auditors observed
- milestone NVIDIA issues a public press release or SEC filing (Form 8-K) disclosing the specific data center segment revenue figure for the quarter observed
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.