JPMorgan Chase does not file or disclose a material change in its credit risk assessment or loan terms for Intel Corporation (INTC) due to the TSMC/Terafab news within 75 days.
Posted 2026-10-05 — 75 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
JPMorgan Chase does not file or disclose a material change in its credit risk assessment or loan terms for Intel Corporation (INTC) due to the TSMC/Terafab news within 75 days.
Reasoning trace
- Upstream shock: Open Source Intel (z=4.1); JPMorgan Chase exposed via 'uses' edge
Evidence so far
1 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 7 times since mint (last on 2026-10-16) — 81% at mint → 82% today.
What to watch
- precondition JPMorgan Chase files an SEC Form 8-K disclosing a material adverse change in the credit risk assessment of Intel Corporation
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.