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Microsoft will announce a public security advisory or mitigation guidance for the JadePuffer agentic AI attacks targeting Azure tenants by 2026-11-27.

probability 79% deadline 2026-11-27 (59d left) Security

Posted 2026-09-28 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

Microsoft will announce a public security advisory or mitigation guidance for the JadePuffer agentic AI attacks targeting Azure tenants by 2026-11-27.

Reasoning trace

  1. Parallel: WannaCry ransomware attack (2017), sim=7
  2. JadePuffer attacks target Azure, similar to WannaCry's exploitation of Windows; Microsoft responded with security advisories and patches.

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-28) — 87% at mint → 79% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.