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By 2026-10-28, Deniz Göktaş's lawyers file an appeal against the conviction with the Turkish Court of Cassation.

probability 81% deadline 2026-10-28 (29d left) Other

Posted 2026-09-28 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

By 2026-10-28, Deniz Göktaş's lawyers file an appeal against the conviction with the Turkish Court of Cassation.

Reasoning trace

  1. Deniz Göktaş convicted
  2. Legal team assesses grounds for appeal under Turkish law
  3. Appeal filed with the Court of Cassation

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-28) — 83% at mint → 81% today.

What to watch

  • leading indicator Deniz Göktaş's legal team publicly announces the intention to appeal the conviction
  • milestone The Court of Cassation docket shows a pending case number assigned to Deniz Göktaş's appeal
  • leading indicator Deniz Göktaş's legal representatives publicly announce the intention to appeal the conviction

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.