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Will Fortune announce the host city for the 2027 Fortune Global Forum by 3 December 2026?

probability 75% deadline 2026-12-03 (59d left) Other

Posted 2026-10-04 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

Fortune is a business magazine that organizes the Fortune Global Forum, an annual event featuring global leaders. The publication typically selects and announces the host city for these gatherings in advance of the event.

The claim

By 2026-12-03, Fortune will announce the host city for the 2027 Fortune Global Forum.

Reasoning trace

  1. Parallel: Fortune Global Forum 2024 (New York, Nov 2024), sim=7
  2. At the 2024 forum Fortune announced the 2025 forum's return to New York, using the event to lock in the next year's venue and sponsors
  3. The 2026 Fortune Global Forum, expected in November 2026, will similarly produce a host-city announcement for 2027 by early December

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-04) — 70% at mint → 75% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.