← All open predictions

Will Salesforce publish a root cause analysis for its global outage by September 20, 2026?

closed deadline 2026-09-30

Posted 2026-09-17, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

Salesforce is a major provider of cloud-based customer relationship management software. Large technology companies typically issue public status updates and post-incident reports to explain significant service disruptions to their users.

The claim

Salesforce will publicly acknowledge the global service outage and release a status update or root cause analysis report by September 20, 2026.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.