Will James Comey plead not guilty in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to Espionage Act charges filed against him in October 2026 by 2026-12-26?
Posted 2026-10-27 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
James Comey is the named individual referenced in the forecast. The U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia is the federal trial court where the described proceedings would occur. The question concerns whether a not guilty plea will be entered to the specified charges by the stated deadline.
The claim
James Comey pleads not guilty in U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia to the Espionage Act charges filed against him in October 2026 by 2026-12-26.
Reasoning trace
- DOJ filed new Espionage Act charges against Comey on 26 October 2026.
- Comey has publicly said he is 'still innocent' and will contest the charges.
- A federal criminal case requires a formal initial appearance and arraignment in the charging court.
- Comey enters a not-guilty plea, keeping the criminal case active.
Evidence so far
3 confirming · 0 denying signals · 3 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 3 times since mint (last on 2026-10-28) — 65% at mint → 82% today.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.