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Will Balyasny Asset Management LP UK's Form 8.3 for Mitie Group plc be published by 28 September 2026?

probability 74% deadline 2026-09-28 (6d left) Finance

Posted 2026-09-1414 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

Balyasny Asset Management is a global investment firm, and Mitie Group is a UK-based facilities and property services company. Under UK market rules, significant changes in shareholdings must be disclosed to the Financial Conduct Authority via specific forms to ensure transparency.

The claim

Balyasny Asset Management LP UK's Form 8.3 disclosure for Mitie Group plc is published on the UK regulatory feed on or before 28 September 2026.

Reasoning trace

  1. Multiple institutional investors filed Form 8.3 disclosures for Mitie Group plc on the same day, indicating coordinated interest.
  2. Balyasny Asset Management LP UK issued a Business Wire press release announcing the disclosure, which typically precedes or accompanies the formal regulatory filing.
  3. The surge in 'disclosure' tag coverage is driven by a topic of high-profile hedge fund and asset manager filings related to Mitie Group plc.

Evidence so far

2 confirming · 0 denying signals · 8 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 19 times since mint (last on 2026-09-20) — 76% at mint → 74% today.

What to watch

  • leading indicator Balyasny Asset Management LP UK issues a Business Wire press release announcing the Form 8.3 disclosure for Mitie Group plc observed
  • leading indicator Balyasny Asset Management LP UK issues a public press release announcing the Form 8.3 disclosure for Mitie Group plc observed
  • leading indicator Balyasny Asset Management LP UK issues a public press release announcing its Form 8.3 disclosure for Mitie Group plc observed

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.