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Will Harvey AI close its $15.5B round with teacher pension investment by Oct 8, 2026?

probability 81% deadline 2026-10-08 (13d left) Finance

Posted 2026-09-24 — 14 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

Harvey AI is a legal technology company that develops artificial intelligence tools for the legal industry. The claim concerns the completion of a specific equity financing round involving a teachers' pension fund as an investor.

The claim

Harvey AI completes its $15.5 billion valuation funding round with the investment from the teachers' pension plan before October 8, 2026.

Reasoning trace

  1. Recent public announcement of a major institutional investor joining the round
  2. Competitive pressure from LLM giants driving valuations up
  3. Established valuation precedent from previous funding stages

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-09-25) — 78% at mint → 81% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.