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Will the US 30-year mortgage rate stay above 7.0% for three weeks by 31 October 2026?

closed deadline 2026-10-31

Posted 2026-09-11, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey is a weekly report that tracks average interest rates for home loans in the United States. Mortgage rates are influenced by broader economic conditions, including inflation and central bank monetary policy.

The claim

The US 30-year fixed mortgage rate (Freddie Mac PMMS weekly survey) will remain above 7.0% for at least three consecutive weekly releases between 2026-09-11 and 2026-10-31.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

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