Will zero category 4 or stronger hurricanes make landfall in the US before 1 October 2026?
Posted 2026-09-03, stated before the outcome.
Hurricanes are tropical cyclones that form over warm ocean waters and are classified by wind speed. The Saffir-Simpson scale rates their intensity, with category 4 storms representing major hurricanes capable of causing catastrophic damage.
The claim
Zero category 4 or stronger hurricanes make landfall in the United States before 2026-10-01.
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Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.