Will Globalstar file an FCC application to transfer satellite licenses to Amazon by 12 November 2026?
Posted 2026-10-13 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
Globalstar, Inc. is a satellite communications company, and Amazon.com, Inc. is a technology corporation. The Federal Communications Commission regulates the transfer of spectrum licenses in the United States.
The claim
Globalstar, Inc. files an application with the Federal Communications Commission seeking consent to transfer its satellite licenses to Amazon.com, Inc. on or before 2026-11-12.
Reasoning trace
- Amazon agreed to acquire Globalstar for $11.57 billion in cash
- Globalstar's FCC satellite licenses must be transferred for the acquisition to close
- Globalstar files an FCC license-transfer application by 2026-11-12
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 2 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-13) — 73% at mint → 79% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator Amazon.com, Inc. and Globalstar, Inc. file a joint public notice or press release confirming the regulatory approval status of the $11.57 billion acquisition. observed
- precondition Globalstar, Inc. publicly announces the completion of its merger with Amazon.com, Inc.
- leading indicator Globalstar, Inc. files a Form 8-K with the SEC disclosing the submission of the FCC license transfer application to Amazon
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.