By 2026-10-28, Apple will file a motion to stay the $5.7 billion verdict pending appeal, requesting a bond amount lower than the full judgment.
Posted 2026-09-28 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
By 2026-10-28, Apple will file a motion to stay the $5.7 billion verdict pending appeal, requesting a bond amount lower than the full judgment.
Reasoning trace
- Jury verdict of $5.7 billion against Apple
- Apple announces appeal
- Apple files motion to stay execution of judgment
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-28) — 83% at mint → 81% today.
What to watch
- precondition Apple's legal team files a notice of appeal or a formal appeal petition in the relevant court docket
- leading indicator Apple's legal team publicly announces or confirms in a press statement that they intend to seek a stay of execution with a reduced bond amount
- precondition Apple files a notice of appeal with the court, establishing the procedural basis for seeking a stay
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.