By 2026-10-23, Meta files a post-trial motion in New Mexico state court seeking to overturn the jury verdict or reduce the $35-40 billion penalty request.
Posted 2026-10-02 — 21 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
By 2026-10-23, Meta files a post-trial motion in New Mexico state court seeking to overturn the jury verdict or reduce the $35-40 billion penalty request.
Reasoning trace
- New Mexico jury finds Meta misled users 43 million times
- State asks judge for $35-40 billion penalty
- Meta files post-trial motion to overturn or reduce the verdict
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 3 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-02) — 80% at mint → 83% today.
What to watch
- milestone The New Mexico state court judge issues a written order or ruling on the State's request for the $35-40 billion penalty.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.