Will WTI crude inventories draw in at least one EIA report from 15 Oct to 20 Nov 2026?
Posted 2026-10-10 — 41 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The US Energy Information Administration publishes weekly data on petroleum supply and demand. Crude oil inventories track the volume of oil held in storage facilities across the United States.
The claim
The US Energy Information Administration's Weekly Petroleum Status Report shows WTI crude oil inventories drawing in at least one weekly report issued between 15 October and 20 November 2026.
Reasoning trace
- Iran strike risk premium rises
- refiners draw on inventories ahead of possible disruption
- weekly EIA print reflects stock draw
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-10) — 81% at mint → 80% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator The EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report released on or after 13 October 2026 and on or before 16 October 2026 reports a decrease in weekly WTI crude oil inventories.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.