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By 2026-11-28, Jim Cramer will publicly comment on Nvidia's buyback execution, specifically stating whether he believes the company is actively deploying the $150 billion authorization.

probability 86% deadline 2026-11-28 (59d left) Market

Posted 2026-09-29 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

By 2026-11-28, Jim Cramer will publicly comment on Nvidia's buyback execution, specifically stating whether he believes the company is actively deploying the $150 billion authorization.

Reasoning trace

  1. Jim Cramer has repeatedly urged Nvidia to execute its buyback aggressively.
  2. Nvidia announced a record $150 billion buyback expansion on 2026-09-28.
  3. Cramer's condition on the buyback's success makes it a frequent topic for his commentary.

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 8 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 3 times since mint (last on 2026-09-29) — 87% at mint → 86% today.

What to watch

  • leading indicator Nvidia reports a specific dollar amount of shares repurchased under the $150 billion authorization in its next quarterly earnings report or 10-Q filing. observed
  • milestone Jim Cramer mentions Nvidia's buyback program in a segment on CNBC's Mad Money or Squawk Box. observed
  • leading indicator Nvidia publishes a quarterly 10-Q filing with the SEC showing a material reduction in cash and cash equivalents or an increase in treasury stock relative to the previous quarter, indicating buyback execution.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.