Will the European Parliament adopt the resolution on the 2026 State of the Union by 30 September 2026?
Posted 2026-09-17, stated before the outcome.
The State of the Union address is an annual speech delivered by the President of the European Commission to the European Parliament. Following this address, the Parliament typically debates and votes on a resolution outlining its position on the Commission's priorities.
The claim
The European Parliament will adopt the resolution following Ursula von der Leyen's 2026 State of the Union address by 30 September 2026.
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Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.