Will Consolidated Precision Products cite Boeing 737 MAX software review in a new disclosure by 11 December 2026?
Posted 2026-09-28 — 74 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
Consolidated Precision Products is an aerospace components manufacturer that supplies parts to major aircraft producers. The Boeing 737 MAX is a commercial aircraft model subject to regulatory oversight regarding its flight control software.
The claim
By 11 December 2026, Consolidated Precision Products will not issue a new guidance change, risk disclosure, or contract announcement specifically citing supply chain disruptions from the Boeing 737 MAX landing software regulator review.
Reasoning trace
- Upstream shock: Electric (z=4.0); Consolidated Precision Products exposed via 'supplies' edge
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 3 times since mint (last on 2026-09-29) — 79% at mint → 74% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator Boeing issues a public statement, regulatory filing, or press release indicating that the 737 MAX landing software regulator review has materially impacted its supply chain orders or contract timelines
- precondition Consolidated Precision Products announces or files a material contract change, termination, or delay affecting its aerospace customers (GE Aerospace, Pratt and Whitney, or Honeywell) between September 29 and December 11, 2026
- precondition Consolidated Precision Products files a Form 10-Q with the SEC on or before December 11, 2026
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.