← All open predictions

Will a US state legislature introduce a strict liability bill for social media harm to minors by 25 September 2026?

closed deadline 2026-09-25

Posted 2026-09-13, stated before the outcome.

Resolved: refuted on 2026-09-13. Every resolution is audited for genuine foresight vs echo.

The United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit is a federal appellate court that interprets federal law, including Section 230 of the Communications Decency Act. State legislatures in the US have the authority to enact laws regulating technology companies operating within their jurisdictions.

The claim

The Ninth Circuit's ruling allowing social media addiction lawsuits to proceed (rejecting Section 230 immunity for platform design claims) results in at least one US state legislature introducing a bill imposing strict liability on social media platforms for algorithmic harm to minors within 45 days of the ruling.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.