← All open predictions

During the SCO summit in Bishkek, China will announce a specific framework for non-dollar trade settlement with Russia, Iran, and India, including the expansion of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) or the use of digital currency bridges for energy and agricultural commodities.

closed deadline 2026-09-15

Posted 2026-09-02, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

During the SCO summit in Bishkek, China will announce a specific framework for non-dollar trade settlement with Russia, Iran, and India, including the expansion of the Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) or the use of digital currency bridges for energy and agricultural commodities.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.