← All open predictions

By 2026-09-15, the ABF substrate shortage for GPU packaging reported in August 2026 leads to a formal, public capacity expansion announcement from at least one major IC substrate manufacturer (Ibiden, Unimicron, Kinsus, or Samsung Electro-Mechanics) specifically citing AI/GPU demand as the driver.

closed deadline 2026-09-15

Posted 2026-09-01, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

By 2026-09-15, the ABF substrate shortage for GPU packaging reported in August 2026 leads to a formal, public capacity expansion announcement from at least one major IC substrate manufacturer (Ibiden, Unimicron, Kinsus, or Samsung Electro-Mechanics) specifically citing AI/GPU demand as the driver.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.