Japan 10-year government bond yield crosses 3.0% on at least one trading day before September 30, 2026, triggering a Bank of Japan emergency policy statement.
closed
deadline 2026-09-30
Posted 2026-09-11, stated before the outcome.
This prediction has left the live shortlist.
The claim
Japan 10-year government bond yield crosses 3.0% on at least one trading day before September 30, 2026, triggering a Bank of Japan emergency policy statement.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.