At least one of the eight multi-agent system papers submitted to arXiv on 2026-09-29 (MASRubric, E$^3$-Orch, Self-Adapting Group of Experts, Raven, Theory of Scene, Planner-as-Router, Black-Box Auditing, or Agentsensus) is assigned a v2 revision or subsequent update by 13 October 2026.
Posted 2026-09-29 — 14 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
At least one of the eight multi-agent system papers submitted to arXiv on 2026-09-29 (MASRubric, E$^3$-Orch, Self-Adapting Group of Experts, Raven, Theory of Scene, Planner-as-Router, Black-Box Auditing, or Agentsensus) is assigned a v2 revision or subsequent update by 13 October 2026.
Reasoning trace
- Standard academic practice involves addressing referee or community feedback within two weeks of submission.
- Several papers are submitted as 'replace' or 'cross' versions, indicating they are already part of an active revision cycle.
- High visibility (z=8.1 surge) increases the likelihood of rapid peer feedback and subsequent author updates.
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 5 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 3 times since mint (last on 2026-09-30) — 87% at mint → 79% today.
What to watch
- leading indicator The arXiv abstract page for 'MASRubric' displays a 'v2' entry in its version history observed
- precondition The arXiv abstract page for 'E³-Orch' displays a version history section showing at least one prior version (v1) with a submission or revision timestamp
- leading indicator The 'E³-Orch' paper receives community comments, referee feedback, or author-initiated corrections posted to arXiv or linked discussion forums between 2026-09-29 and 2026-10-13
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.