The Senate passes a continuing resolution funding DHS through at least November 2026 without immigration enforcement funding, by 2026-10-30.
Posted 2026-09-30 — 30 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
The Senate passes a continuing resolution funding DHS through at least November 2026 without immigration enforcement funding, by 2026-10-30.
Reasoning trace
- House votes to fund DHS without immigration enforcement
- Senate must act to keep DHS fully funded and avoid another shutdown
- Senate passes a continuing resolution matching the House measure
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-09-30) — 78% at mint → 84% today.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.