The U.S. International Trade Commission will institute a Section 337 investigation into Netlist's complaint against Broadcom by 2026-10-30.
Posted 2026-10-01 — 29 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
The claim
The U.S. International Trade Commission will institute a Section 337 investigation into Netlist's complaint against Broadcom by 2026-10-30.
Reasoning trace
- Netlist filed a Section 337 complaint seeking an AI-memory import ban against Broadcom
- The ITC has a 30-day statutory period to decide whether to institute an investigation
- The ITC institutes the investigation, opening a formal proceeding
Evidence so far
4 confirming · 0 denying signals · 0 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-10-01) — 83% at mint → 78% today.
What to watch
- precondition The U.S. International Trade Commission issues a public order instituting the investigation in the Netlist v. Broadcom case
- milestone The ITC publishes a public notice of the Netlist complaint on its website or Federal Register
- leading indicator The ITC issues a public notice of opportunity to comment on the Netlist complaint
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.