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Will OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic announce a new frontier AI model before 15 October 2026?

closed deadline 2026-10-15

Posted 2026-09-04, stated before the outcome.

Resolved: realized on 2026-09-04. Every resolution is audited for genuine foresight vs echo.

OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic are leading artificial intelligence research companies that regularly develop and release large language models. These organizations compete to advance the capabilities of general-purpose AI systems, often marking significant milestones with public announcements of new model architectures or versions.

The claim

A new frontier AI model release is announced by OpenAI, Google, or Anthropic before 2026-10-15.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.