Will Super Micro Computer file its Q3 2026 Form 10-Q with the SEC by 13 November 2026?
Posted 2026-10-21 — 23 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is a publicly traded technology company subject to U.S. securities regulations. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission requires public companies to submit quarterly financial reports, known as Form 10-Q, within a specific timeframe following the end of each fiscal quarter.
The claim
By 2026-11-13, Super Micro Computer, Inc. will file its Form 10-Q for the fiscal quarter ended September 30, 2026 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Reasoning trace
- Base rate: U.S. large accelerated filers with a September 30 quarter-end file their Form 10-Q within the statutory 40-day deadline in roughly 90-95% of cases ≈ 92%
- Inside view: SMCI has already prepared and disclosed preliminary quarterly results, which shortens its closing and review process; however, its history of audit-related late filings and ongoing regulatory scrutiny keeps this below near-certainty, at 0.80.
Evidence so far
0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 0 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.
Probability history
Updated 2 times since mint (last on 2026-10-21) — 80% at mint → 80% today.
The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].
Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.