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By 2026-11-30, CBS News will have provided a reporter for at least one White House press pool rotation, ending its solidarity boycott over CNN's exclusion from the pool.

probability 87% deadline 2026-11-30 (59d left) Society

Posted 2026-10-01 — 60 days before the deadline, stated before the outcome.

The claim

By 2026-11-30, CBS News will have provided a reporter for at least one White House press pool rotation, ending its solidarity boycott over CNN's exclusion from the pool.

Reasoning trace

  1. The White House removed CNN from the press pool for President Trump's upcoming trip.
  2. CBS News boycotted pool duties in solidarity with CNN.
  3. The exclusion is lifted or the disputed trip passes, and CBS News resumes normal pool participation.

Evidence so far

0 confirming · 0 denying signals · 1 verified · 1 broken assumptions. The evidence itself is part of the full dossier.

Probability history

Updated 1 time since mint (last on 2026-10-01) — 75% at mint → 87% today.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.