← All open predictions

Within the next three weeks, the Ukrainian Air Force reports a single overnight Russian attack involving at least 400 combined drones and missiles launched against Ukraine.

closed deadline 2026-11-04

Posted 2026-10-24, stated before the outcome.

This prediction has left the live shortlist.

The claim

Within the next three weeks, the Ukrainian Air Force reports a single overnight Russian attack involving at least 400 combined drones and missiles launched against Ukraine.

The full dossier behind this prediction — the evidence trail, the risk analysis, the monetization scenarios — is available on request: [email protected].

Probabilities are calibrated against the system's own resolved history; after the deadline the outcome is resolved and audited — including the calls we get wrong. Nothing on this page is investment advice.